What’s top of investors’ minds this week?

Trump seems emboldened. Nowcaster models such as the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow suggest that the US economy grew about 2.6% in Q2. Crucially, the unemployment rate has remained low at 4.1% and tariffs have yet to meaningfully impact inflation. This mix increases the risk that Trump will follow through with his pledge to implement higher “reciprocal” tariff rates on August 1.

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