What’s top of investors’ minds this week?

US data seems to be still holding up; the US unemployment rate has remained low at 4.1% and tariffs have yet to meaningfully impact inflation. June’s headline inflation level rose 0.3% month-on-month, in line with expectations while core inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month, 1/10th less than expected. These pushed up year-on-year inflation to 2.7% and 2.9% respectively from 2.4% and 2.8%. The data rule out a Fed rate cut in July but are inconclusive about September.

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