In light of the recent tariff announcements, we foresee a significant slowdown in US growth, while recession risk has risen meaningfully. We have turned more cautious on US equities and believe that over the short term, non-US regions, especially Europe and emerging markets can continue to outperform the US market. We are more constructive on government bonds (i.e., duration), especially in US Treasuries, as a possible safeguard against a recession, particularly considering that while tariffs may have short-term inflationary effects, they are likely to impede long-term global growth.
Read Eastspring’s 2Q 2025 Market Outlook
