For decades, the US has been unrivalled in all three domains of power: economic strength, technological prowess and defence capabilities. However, with the ascendance of China, the world has entered a bipolar era.
The America First agenda places less emphasis on comparative advantage and market efficiency, instead prioritising supply chain resilience, national security and industrial policy (including tariffs). This applies to manufacturing, semiconductors, energy, healthcare and the defence industry. And just as President Biden reversed few of the economic policies implemented during Trump’s first term, Epoch expects season two’s agenda to remain largely intact regardless of who next sits in the Oval Office.
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