Private credit is showing the earliest signs of strain because it has the highest concentration of software exposure and because semi-liquid vehicles such as business development companies (BDCs) and evergreen funds make stress visible sooner through redemptions and write-downs. The broader market narrative has shifted from identifying the winners of AI to identifying those most exposed to AI disruption.

This is not only a private credit problem. It is as much a private equity issue as a private credit issue; private credit is simply where the pressure is surfacing first.

Read | Private Credit after the Software Reset