Global markets are experiencing volatility due to Trump’s tariff policies, which are negatively impacting both his popularity and the U.S. economy. At the same time, there are encouraging developments elsewhere: European policymakers are moving toward relaxed fiscal rules and business-friendly regulations; China is responding with measured tariffs and ambitious fiscal policies; Japan maintains positive momentum; and other Asian economies continue to show strong growth and stability.
Given the mixed conditions, the recommended investment strategy balances offensive equity positions (with significant underweighting of U.S. markets until Trump’s policies shift) alongside defensive positions emphasizing duration and yen versus the dollar as hedges against continued policy missteps.
Read the Macro Update for March 2025
