Last week’s Trump-Xi summit ended with virtually no policy change and, most importantly, no signal of impending Chinese intervention into the Middle East to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This contributed to 10-year US Treasury yields rising 11bps to 4.59% and 30-year yields increasing 9bps to 5.11% on Friday, their highest level since 2007 as concerns about energy driven inflation resumed. Brent crude rose 3.7% to USD110.4/bbl on Friday and is up a further 0.8% to USD111.3/bbl as we write.

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