Manufacturing purchasing managers indexes (PMI) generally softened in June, but remained at historically elevated levels that point to sustained strong industrial growth over the next several months in most countries. Only PMIs in India, Indonesia, and the
Philippines look weak. Among these laggards, the recent stabilisation of India’s currency should combine with lower energy prices to improve business sentiment and activity. A key risk is that a continuation of much weaker than normal rains could lead to poor harvests and weaker rural income growth in India.

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